¶ Probability
Index Entry
Probability is mathematically proven and useful but, as its name states, it is far from incisive prediction. It is a tool but a weak tool. If you want to cross the Atlantic to a given port, probability per se won’t you there. It can only say that your chances of getting there are such and such a bet-- as ‘48 to 1’. Probability says any easterly direction is more favorable than a westerly, but a westerly could probably get you there. But probability would not tell you anything useful about the rocks or continents that might intervene. ‘There will probably be rocks and continents in your way.’ Probability could not get you to a given port. Navigation can do so. Navigation is discrete and is a powerful tool.
